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Setting up for Success | ETFsector.com Daily Trading Outlook, June 5, 2024

Patrick Torbert

Patrick Torbert is a veteran financial market analyst who is currently the Editor and Chief at ETF Insight a NY based full-service content, TV, video podcast and digital marketing firm that represents several ETF issuers. Patrick brings 20+ years of experience from Fidelity Asset Management where he most recently served as an equity and multi-asset analyst.

Equities finished Tuesday higher with the Dow leading large caps adding 36bps, while the broad market S&P 500 added 15bps and the Nasdaq checked in up 17bps at the close.  Futures for Wednesday have opened positive with the Dow after hours index showing a +0.51% reading.  The 10yr treasury yield fell to 4.33% and WTI crude Oil moved lower while Brent appreciated modestly.  Gold was off 1.02% with Bitcoin down 2.8%

The JOLTS report came in at its lowest reading in 3-years with market watchers expecting the report to give the Fed. cover to lower rates later this year.

Eco Data Releases | Wednesday June 5th, 2024

Date Time Event Survey Actual Prior Revised
06/05/2024 07:00 MBA Mortgage Applications 31-May -5.70%
06/05/2024 08:15 ADP Employment Change May 175k 192k
06/05/2024 09:45 S&P Global US Services PMI May F 54.8 54.8
06/05/2024 09:45 S&P Global US Composite PMI May F 54.2 54.4
06/05/2024 10:00 ISM Services Index May 51 49.4
06/05/2024 10:00 ISM Services Prices Paid May 59 59.2
06/05/2024 10:00 ISM Services Employment May 47.2 45.9
06/05/2024 10:00 ISM Services New Orders May 53.2 52.2

 

S&P 500 Constituent Earnings Announcements by GICS Sector | Wednesday June 5th, 2024

Several economic releases due on Wednesday headlined by Mortgage Apps at 7AM.  Housing prices have started to slump amid mounting unsold inventories.  We’ve detailed the weak consumer dynamics, but it will be interesting to see how sensitive demand is to changes in interest rates with the benchmark US 10yr Yield now heading lower in the near-term.  Unlikely to affect this month’s release, but worth keeping an eye on.

Earnings feature a trio of Staples co.’s. DLTR and BF/B have had it particularly rough this year.

Worldwide Wednesday: US still leads, but more intriguing areas are showing up ex-US!

We’ve noticed some decent charts popping up in the European banking sector.  Credit Agricole and UBS are both examples of a now long-term bullish reversal manifesting in the industry.

  • UBS (200-day m.a.| Relative to S&P 500)
  • UBS has outperformed the S&P 500 by 25% over the past 12 months net of total return.

 

 

 

Sources: Bloomberg

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