ETFSector.com February Outlook: Financials
A week January for the sector was a disappointment. We like the sector as an oversold inflation hedge entering February despite some lackluster technicals.
A week January for the sector was a disappointment. We like the sector as an oversold inflation hedge entering February despite some lackluster technicals.
Semiconductors remain strong, software continues to be de-rated. Weakness in AAPL and MSFT a growing concern. We start February close to neutral on Tech shares.
In a K-shaped economy, this is a K-shaped sector. Alphabet and META improve, most other names are getting worse, but >70% of the sector’s market cap. are in the former two stocks.
Utilities was our lowest rated sector in the Elev8 model this month. Rising rates and commodities prices have historically been material headwinds to performance.
We’re going underweight the low vol. complex in the Elev8 model this month with interest rates and commodities prices rising.
Some whip-saw in the model as a big shift from Growth to Value has market the beginning of 2026. We’re aligning with the pro-cyclical bull trend in commodities this month.
January 30, 2026 S&P futures −0.8% after U.S. equities finished mixed Thursday, ending off worst levels. The software selloff following earnings from MSFT, NOW, and
Rising infrastructure spending, electrification, geopolitical fragmentation, and supply constraints are restoring metals’ strategic relevance. With limited new capacity and sustained real-asset demand, base and precious metals—and the miners behind them—are reasserting themselves as durable, late-cycle portfolio anchors.
January 29, 2026 S&P futures up 0.2% after U.S. equities finished flattish/mixed Wednesday. Tech continued to lead, while consumer, healthcare, and A&D lagged. Asia was
January 28, 2026 S&P futures are up ~0.3% after U.S. equities finished mostly higher Tuesday, with momentum and big tech leading and the S&P 500
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