ETFSector.com September Outlook: Financials
Financials inflected positively in August after retracing most YTD gains vs. the S&P 500 from April-August.
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Research
ETFSector.com September Outlook: Real Estate
We’re expecting rotation into lagging names if the AI theme pauses. With the Fed signaling a dovish policy initiative, that is a supportive setup for the Real Estate Sector in the near-term.
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ETFSector.com September Outlook: Information Technology
AI momentum seems to be peaking in the near-term and we’re expecting some consolidation into Q3 earnings given the bullish scenario that has been priced in from April – August.
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ETFSector.com September Outlook: S&P 500
We’re expecting some backing and filling in September after investors spent April – August pricing in bullish scenarios on global trade resolution. A dovish Fed is another potential catalyst for rotation.
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ETFSector.com August Outlook: Consumer Discretionary
Discretionary stocks haven’t participated in the equity market recovery to the level we would have expected. We have taken out exposure to a tactical underweight for August in favor of a defensive hedge into Utilities and Staples.
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ETFSector.com August Outlook: Energy
Energy shares and Crude prices remain weak, but we start August with a modest long exposure to hedge against rotation risk.
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ETFSector.com August Outlook: Healthcare
The sector remains the weakest in our model. Both fundamental and technical headwinds remain in place, though oversold conditions are prevalent.
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ETFSector.com August Outlook: Consumer Staples
Not much to like about Staples on the surface, but near-term oversold conditions make it a good hedge for bullish positioning as defensive rotation and outperformance often happens from a starting point of oversold conditions.
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ETFSector.com August Outlook: Financials
We remain constructive on the sector despite recent performance retracement. We expect oversold insurance names to be picked up if any turbulence emerges.
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ETFSector.com August Outlook: Real Estate
Real Estate stocks remain impaired at the sector level with Office REITs remaining a drag and sticky high interest rates preventing the level of credit needed to change the asset mix.
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