The macro picture changed last week as persistently strong economic data has driven interest rates above 2024 highs to start the new year. Crude and Commodities prices have firmed in the near-term as investors position for a more inflationary environment and Growth areas of the equity market come under renewed pressure. At the sector level, […]
The first Tactical Tuesday Report of 2025 rolls out as investors are looking to accumulate equities on year-end 2024 weakness. The S&P 500 entered 2025 with near-term breadth measures showing signs of potential selling exhaustion as >80% of stocks had seen prices pushed below their respective 50-day moving averages in December (chart below, middle panel).
Tactical Tuesday Report: Semiconductors Acting Well to Start 2025, January 7, 2025 Read More »
We need to see stock level participation broaden out to have high conviction in a sustained bull market
Bull trend remains intact, but performance spreads are getting stretched. 2025 has potential to be a year of consolidation after a big run-up in prices in 2024.
In a lengthening bull market, is it time to revisit concept stocks?
Tactical Tuesday Sector Report: Time to Consider ARKK and ARKF?, December 3, 2024 Read More »
Starting to see some Momentum Buy Signals in Discretionary and Financial Sectors
Our Tactical sector report looks at price action and options market indicators to evaluate potential near-term dislocations in price. The table below covers the large cap. US Sector Fund Families from SPDR’s, iShares and Vanguard. In the wake of our recent US Presidential Election, we look at the most overbought and oversold sectors across the
Our analysis of annual returns for equities from 1941-2024 show that equities have fared better in Democratic Presidential Administrations over that time period. Regardless of party, we hope everyone will vote and vote safely!
Tactical Tuesday Report: Election Edition Read More »
The S&P 500 seasonal pattern is bullish into year end, and has been positive 4 of the 5 previous election cycles with 2008 the bearish exception.
Tactical Tuesday Sector Report: Seasonality is Bullish into Year-End Read More »
Typically, we’ve used this serial to highlight overbought and oversold conditions on sector funds, thematic funds, macro indices and individual stocks to highlight short-term dislocations that we think investors can take advantage of. We wanted to switch gears to focus on longer-term themes that have alpha generating implications for equity and blended strategies. While themes
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