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XLP Consumer Staples SPDR July Outlook—Softer inflation has shifted investor focus towards discounting a more dovish Fed. going forward. XLP is less likely to outperform while that behavior persists

Sector Reports, XLP Consumer Staples / / ,

Weaker inflation and a fairly bullish earning season from the Tech. Sector have put the XLP in the back seat. Several o our model inputs have deteriorated for the sector since May, and it now scores as a zero-weight sector for July in our work

XLP Consumer Staples SPDR July Outlook—Softer inflation has shifted investor focus towards discounting a more dovish Fed. going forward. XLP is less likely to outperform while that behavior persists Read More »

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XLY Consumer Discretionary Sector SPDR July Outlook—Discretionary stocks may have finally put in a durable low in June as investors shift views on Fed. policy expectations from hawkish to dovish

Sector Reports, XLY Consumer Discretionary / / , ,

XLY has shown signs of bottoming as inflation has continued to dissipate.  Investors are starting to gain conviction that the Fed. will be more accommodative to equities in its forward interest rate policy prescriptions as a flagging consumer and slowing industrial production have the potential to supplant inflation as a primary concern.

XLY Consumer Discretionary Sector SPDR July Outlook—Discretionary stocks may have finally put in a durable low in June as investors shift views on Fed. policy expectations from hawkish to dovish Read More »

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XLI Industrials SPDR July Outlook—Oversold conditions are at near-term wash out levels for XLI and we continue to be positioned for a bounce.

Sector Reports, XLI Industrials / / , , , , , , , , , ,

We are remaining long XLI as it is deeply oversold near-term and tactically attractive if we see profit taking from L/T winning sectors XLK and XLC

XLI Industrials SPDR July Outlook—Oversold conditions are at near-term wash out levels for XLI and we continue to be positioned for a bounce. Read More »

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XLB Materials SPDR July Outlook—Weakness across the Commodities complex has had a negative effect on the Materials Sector and has us at a 0% allocation for July in our model

Sector Reports, XLB Materials / / , , , , , , ,

XLB has fallen to new lows without any signs of positive divergence or bullish reversal at the industry level.

XLB Materials SPDR July Outlook—Weakness across the Commodities complex has had a negative effect on the Materials Sector and has us at a 0% allocation for July in our model Read More »

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Elev8 Sector Rotation Model Portfolio: July Positioning & June Performance Recap

Elev8, XLB Materials, XLC Communication Services, XLE Energy, XLF Financials, XLI Industrials, XLK Technology, XLP Consumer Staples, XLRE Real Estate, XLV Health Care, XLY Consumer Discretionary / /

Going naked the Discretionary Sector during a month where it ended up outperforming resulted in a small loss (-20bps).  We start out July with more beta in the portfolio and bigger bets on leadership sectors (XLK, XLC) given the improving status of monthly inflation gauges and continued strength in Growth oriented themes.

Elev8 Sector Rotation Model Portfolio: July Positioning & June Performance Recap Read More »

SPY July Outlook—The Bull Market for the S&P 500 Index and Growth Factor Leadership are obvious, and we are aligned with those trends for July

XLB Materials, XLC Communication Services, XLE Energy, XLF Financials, XLI Industrials, XLK Technology, XLP Consumer Staples, XLRE Real Estate, XLV Health Care, XLY Consumer Discretionary / / , , , , , , , , , ,

Price action, Fed policy and trends in US yields and global commodities prices continue to support Growth leadership and the continuation of the current bull trend for US equities

SPY July Outlook—The Bull Market for the S&P 500 Index and Growth Factor Leadership are obvious, and we are aligned with those trends for July Read More »

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