March 31, 2025 We introduced the Elev8 Sector Rotation Model in June of 2024. Here’s a look under the hood at the inputs we use to score the 11 GICS Sectors for April and our resulting positions. The model includes up to 14 indicators that range from: Stock Level Technical Characteristics Macro-overlays: equity trend (S&P […]
Elev8 Sector Rotation Model Portfolio: April Positioning Read More »
COMMENTARY: The S&P 500 fell this week, down 1.5%, as investors waited for clarity on the tariffs due to go into effect on April 2nd. Rising inflation and weakening consumer sentiment also contributed to market declines. Consumer Staples was the only sector with a positive return this week, up 1.4%, as investors seek to rotate
Performance Summary: Week Ending March 28th, 2025 Read More »
March 31, 2025 S&P Futures Down 0.9% Monday Morning. Markets are in risk-off mode following Friday’s sharp selloff, with the S&P 500 now down in five of the last six weeks. The Mag 7 posted its first six-week losing streak since May 2022. Asian and European equities are sharply lower, Treasuries are rallying (yields down
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March 28, 2025 The S&P 500 has rallied off recent lows made on March 13, but the RSI momentum study (chart below, panel 3) has hit a near-term peak at an area of expected near-term resistance. Equities have been setting up for a pivot on Wednesday April 2 as the Trump Administration will be announcing
Factor Friday: S&P 500 Rally Looking Tired Setting Up Low Vol. in the Near-term Read More »
March 28, 2025 S&P futures are down 0.1% in premarket trading, off earlier lows, following Thursday’s mixed session that left major indices modestly lower. Despite recent volatility, all key benchmarks remain on track for weekly gains. European markets are lower, following a broadly weaker session in Asia. Treasuries are firmer with some curve flattening, though
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March 27, 2025 S&P futures down 0.1% in early Thursday trading, following a broad market decline Wednesday where the S&P, Nasdaq, and Russell 2000 all fell over 1%. Mag 7 stocks pulled back after a recent run, while cyclicals, AI data center names, and high short interest stocks also underperformed. Defensive sectors held up better,
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March 26, 2025 Rotation out of US equities has been a boon for ex-US stocks in 2025. However, the last 2-weeks have seen a pull-back as investors kick the tires on discounted US shares and take profits from some parabolic moves in European and Chinese equities. As we’ve mentioned in several of our recent columns,
Worldwide Wednesday: Rotation into ex-US Equities has been a Theme of 2025 Read More »
March 26, 2025 S&P futures down 0.1% in Wednesday morning trading, following a mostly higher close for U.S. equities Tuesday, with the S&P posting a third straight gain. Leadership came from Mag 7, industrial metals, A&D, and banks, while pharma, retail, and parcel/logistics lagged. Notably, the equal-weight S&P underperformed, with ~55% of constituents declining. Overnight,
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March 25, 2025 The S&P 500 has now rallied back above its 200-day moving average (chart below). We continue to believe this rally represents the second (counter-trend) leg of an A-B-C correction where we would look for signs of selling exhaustion on the 2nd leg lower. We are expecting the current rally to fail in
Tactical Tuesday Report: Growth Factor Performance Likely a “Tell” in the Near-term Read More »
March 25, 2025 S&P futures are flat Tuesday morning, following Monday’s strong, broad-based rally that saw all major US indexes gain over 1.4%, the S&P 500 close above its 200-DMA, and ~85% of index constituents advance. High short interest, Mag 7, momentum, memes, and cyclicals led the way. However, low volumes and lingering skepticism about
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