May 14, 2025 S&P futures are slightly lower following Tuesday’s gains, where cyclicals and the “Magnificent 7” tech names outperformed, and defensives lagged. The S&P is now positive YTD, up 18% since its April 8 low. Asian markets were mixed overnight, with Hong Kong leading, while European markets opened down ~0.7% on weaker earnings. Treasuries […]
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May 13, 2025 S&P futures are down 0.4% following Monday’s 3% rally that left the S&P less than 5% below its mid-February all-time high. Ten of 11 sectors advanced Monday, led by big tech, apparel, transports, and most-shorted names, while staples and utilities lagged. Overnight, Asian markets were mostly higher, with Japan and Taiwan leading,
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May 2, 2025 S&P futures are up 0.3% after the index posted an eighth straight gain on Thursday, now up over 8.5% since early April and just 1% below pre-tariff announcement levels. Stocks are tracking for a second straight weekly gain, the first since January. Overnight, Asia traded mostly higher (led by Hong Kong and
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April 30, 2025 Markets remain in a holding pattern ahead of key Mag 7 earnings and a heavy macro calendar. Supportive factors include improving earnings (particularly around tariff mitigation), some easing in Fed expectations, and recent tariff relief headlines. However, trade-related growth risks remain significant, especially amid delays in striking multiple trade deals. Concerns about
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April 22, 2025 S&P futures are up 0.9% in early Tuesday trading, rebounding from Monday’s broad selloff that saw the S&P 500 fall for the third time in four sessions and the Nasdaq drop for a fourth straight day. Over 90% of S&P 500 constituents closed lower on Monday amid thin liquidity. Asian markets finished
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April 3, 2025 Futures are sharply lower this morning, with the S&P 500 down 3.4% and Nasdaq off 3.8%, following a global risk-off move triggered by Trump’s harsher-than-expected tariff announcement. The rollout of reciprocal tariffs, which included higher-than-anticipated rates and few immediate exemptions, has stoked fears of retaliation, dampened hopes for negotiated relief, and escalated
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March 19, 2025 S&P futures up 0.1% Wednesday morning after Tuesday’s pullback, which ended a brief two-day bounce. Big tech underperformed, with all Mag 7 stocks now down YTD and the group off more than 16%. Asian and European markets mixed. Treasuries steady, dollar up 0.4%, gold down 0.2%, and Bitcoin up 2.0%. WTI crude
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March 18, 2025 S&P futures down 0.4% in Tuesday premarket trading, near session lows. Follows Monday’s second straight gain, the S&P’s first two-day win streak since Feb. 19, with equal-weight S&P and cyclicals outperforming while Mag 7 lagged. Asian markets extended gains for a third session, with Hong Kong (+2.5%) and Japan (+1%) leading. European
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February 18, 2025 S&P futures +0.2% Tuesday morning after a mixed but positive week for U.S. equities, led by big tech. Asian markets mostly higher, with Hong Kong extending its rally, though mainland China declined. European markets narrowly mixed. Treasuries weaker, 10-year yields above 4.50%. Dollar index +0.3%. Gold +0.8%. Bitcoin futures -0.8%. WTI crude
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February 10, 2025 The S&P 500 continues in a consolidation pattern that started in early December. The index made a marginal new high on January 23rd, but the buyer couldn’t sustain above that level for longer than a day. The move sets up a negative momentum divergence in the RSI and MACD oscillators (chart below,
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