April 16, 2025 S&P futures are down 0.5% in early Wednesday trading, though off the lows. This follows a mostly lower U.S. session Tuesday, with weakness across chemicals, food/beverage, apparel, and logistics. Banks, semis, and defensives held up better. Treasuries are firmer with curve steepening, the dollar index is down 0.6%, gold is up 2.5%, […]
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April 8, 2025 The S&P 500 has now retraced the entirety of current cycle gains above the S&P 500’s 2022 price high (chart below). As we noted in our weekly piece, the current level represents a 50% retracement of the entire bull market move from the trough in October 2022 through the peak in January
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April 8, 2025 S&P futures up 1.5%, rebounding after Monday’s volatile session where the index recovered nearly 5% intraday to close down just 0.2%. VIX below 45. Asia rallied overnight (Japan +6% on trade optimism), while Europe is up over 1%. Treasuries firmer after Monday’s sharp yield spike (30Y +21 bp). Dollar flat, gold +1.3%,
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April 7, 2025 S&P futures -1.7%, Nasdaq -2.6% in Monday morning trading, both off worst overnight levels. VIX >45. Follows last week’s sharp equity selloff, with the S&P 500 down over 9% and Nasdaq off 10%—worst two-day decline since March 2020. Index is now down 17% from February highs. Treasuries firmer with curve bull steepening.
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April 3, 2025 Futures are sharply lower this morning, with the S&P 500 down 3.4% and Nasdaq off 3.8%, following a global risk-off move triggered by Trump’s harsher-than-expected tariff announcement. The rollout of reciprocal tariffs, which included higher-than-anticipated rates and few immediate exemptions, has stoked fears of retaliation, dampened hopes for negotiated relief, and escalated
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April 2, 2025 S&P futures are down 0.5% in early trading after U.S. equities closed mostly higher Tuesday. Gains were led by a Mag 7 rebound and cyclical strength, while defensives lagged. Treasuries are firmer with yields down 1–2 bp. Dollar index is off 0.2%. Gold is up 0.5%, Bitcoin futures are down 0.3%, and
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April 1, 2025 S&P futures are down 0.5% following a modest rebound in U.S. equities on Monday, which saw defensives outperform—consumer staples, energy, and financials led, while the Mag 7 continued to lag. Treasuries are firmer with yields down 1–5 bp, curve flattening. Dollar is off 0.1%, gold up 0.5%, bitcoin futures up 2.1%, and
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March 31, 2025 S&P Futures Down 0.9% Monday Morning. Markets are in risk-off mode following Friday’s sharp selloff, with the S&P 500 now down in five of the last six weeks. The Mag 7 posted its first six-week losing streak since May 2022. Asian and European equities are sharply lower, Treasuries are rallying (yields down
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March 25, 2025 S&P futures are flat Tuesday morning, following Monday’s strong, broad-based rally that saw all major US indexes gain over 1.4%, the S&P 500 close above its 200-DMA, and ~85% of index constituents advance. High short interest, Mag 7, momentum, memes, and cyclicals led the way. However, low volumes and lingering skepticism about
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March 21, 2025 S&P futures are down 0.4% in early Friday trading, reversing modest gains seen earlier in the session. This comes after U.S. equities finished mostly lower on Thursday in a quiet session with little macro news. Despite the choppy tone, major indexes are still on track to finish the week higher, led by
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