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Performance Summary: Week Ending December 12th, 2025

COMMENTARY: The S&P 500’s 63‑bp weekly decline through 12/12/2525 reflected a rotation out of mega‑cap tech and AI‑linked names as investors reassessed stretched valuations and the profitability of large AI buildouts. This pullback came despite an otherwise supportive macro backdrop, including the Federal Reserve’s 25‑bp rate cut earlier in the month, which policymakers framed as […]

Performance Summary: Week Ending December 12th, 2025 Read More »

Tactical Tuesday: Why Rising Commodity Prices Historically Drive Energy and Materials Sector Outperformance — and Why the Pattern Keeps Repeating

December 9, 2025 Every market cycle has its rhythms, but few relationships are as reliable—and as frequently misunderstood—as the link between rising commodity prices and outperformance in the Energy and Materials sectors. Investors tend to treat commodities as macro noise or inflation signals, yet for the companies that extract, process, or transport those raw inputs,

Tactical Tuesday: Why Rising Commodity Prices Historically Drive Energy and Materials Sector Outperformance — and Why the Pattern Keeps Repeating Read More »

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Performance Summary: Week Ending December 5th, 2025

COMMENTARY: The S&P 500’s 0.3% rise this week reflected a market in “wait-and-see” mode ahead of the Federal Reserve’s December meeting, with modest gains supported by growing conviction a rate cut is likely. Also, softer inflation and labor data kept the market steady. At the stock level, performance was again driven disproportionately by the “Magnificent

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Worldwide Wednesday: Examining German Equity Underperformance — What Went Wrong, and What Investors Should Watch Next

December 3, 2025 Given some signs of rotation away from domestic AI majors, we wanted to take a closer look at why German shares have been soft on performance in the near-term after they saw heavy inflows early in the year when US sentiment soured.  German equities entered 2025 with unusual strength. Through the first

Worldwide Wednesday: Examining German Equity Underperformance — What Went Wrong, and What Investors Should Watch Next Read More »

Performance Summary: Week Ending November 28th, 2025

COMMENTARY: After a November feast of gains, the market looks like the relative who’s already unbuttoned their pants and is eyeing the pumpkin pie anyway. Investor sentiment is sitting somewhere between “I think I’m full” and “just one more slice.” The S&P500 was up 3.7% this week, carrying a YTD gain of 16.5% headed into

Performance Summary: Week Ending November 28th, 2025 Read More »

Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator: Is a Dovish Fed Enough to Sustain the Bull?

November 30, 2025 November delivered one of the most dramatic sentiment swings of the year. U.S. equities bounced sharply off early-month lows, with the S&P 500 rallying ~3.5% over three sessions heading into Thanksgiving week and rate-cut odds for December climbing from <30% to over 80%. Treasury yields fell 3–4 bp across several sessions, and

Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator: Is a Dovish Fed Enough to Sustain the Bull? Read More »

Elev8 Sector Rotation Model Portfolio: December Positioning   

November 28, 2025 Elev8 Model Input Scores: December 2025 The table below shows the Elev8 model’s scores for December.  Near-term rotation away from Technology Sector shares was the story of November, but we are expecting some accumulation into year end as the cycle’s most important stocks like NVDA and PLTR sit at near-term oversold levels. 

Elev8 Sector Rotation Model Portfolio: December Positioning    Read More »

AI Rebound Hinges on Earnings, Cash Flow, and Fed Clarity as Post-Shutdown Data Points to an Uneven but Resilient Economy

November 23, 2025 The coming Thanksgiving week finds investors in an uneasy place: the AI trade has been shaken, but not broken, and the macro data emerging since the federal government reopened paints a picture of an economy that is cooling unevenly rather than rolling over. From a sector perspective, the key question is not

AI Rebound Hinges on Earnings, Cash Flow, and Fed Clarity as Post-Shutdown Data Points to an Uneven but Resilient Economy Read More »

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