March 26, 2025 Rotation out of US equities has been a boon for ex-US stocks in 2025. However, the last 2-weeks have seen a pull-back as investors kick the tires on discounted US shares and take profits from some parabolic moves in European and Chinese equities. As we’ve mentioned in several of our recent columns, […]
Worldwide Wednesday: Rotation into ex-US Equities has been a Theme of 2025 Read More »
March 25, 2025 The S&P 500 has now rallied back above its 200-day moving average (chart below). We continue to believe this rally represents the second (counter-trend) leg of an A-B-C correction where we would look for signs of selling exhaustion on the 2nd leg lower. We are expecting the current rally to fail in
Tactical Tuesday Report: Growth Factor Performance Likely a “Tell” in the Near-term Read More »
We remain skeptical of equities current attempt at a rally. No signs of enthusiasm for discounted Growth themes at these levels so far. Financials are acting better among bull market exposures.
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | Anyone Shopping the Sale? Read More »
COMMENTARY: The S&P 500 index got some help during Wednesday and Friday’s trading sessions to stop five weeks in a row of losses, to eke out a fifty-basis point gain for the week. The index has been swimming against the tide of the “Mag-7” stocks showing their worst-performing quarter in two years. The Energy Sector
Performance Summary: Week Ending March 21st, 2025 Read More »
Rotation away from Growth continues. We think there’s more upside for commodities related stocks in the near-term which supports continued outperformance in the Value trade. We will be looking closely at performance of defensive sectors and factors vs. those that offer exposure to Growth to try and sus out the next potential pivot for the US equity market. We don’t have high conviction signals to move off a defensive posture in our positioning yet.
Factor Friday: Equity Leadership Rotates to Value and Income Read More »
March 18, 2025 The S&P 500 is attempting a rally with yesterday’s positive close marking the first consecutive positive closes since the current correction began on February 19. Discretionary shares continue to see performance nosedive vs. the S&P 500 while buyers are starting to kick the tires on Tech shares here. The sector performance chart
Tactical Tuesday Report: S&P 500 Remains on the Ropes Despite Recent Attempts at a Rally Read More »
NVDA’s stock chart is taking on a distributional look. The buyer reaction in the near-term is likely important to the US equity bull market
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | NVDA Remains the Bull’s Bellwether Read More »
COMMENTARY: The S&P 500 index added to its YTD decline, falling 2.3% this week. The Index is off by 4.1% since the end of December. Heightened uncertainty regarding trade policy and tariffs plus moderating economic activity on job growth and GDP growth also played a role. The 10-year bond yield fell to 4.3%, signaling a
Performance Summary: Week Ending March 14th, 2025 Read More »
March 14, 2025 When we last published on factors on February 21st, 2025, we looked at long-term performance trends for the most popular factors. You can find the piece here, but the TL:DR version of it is that the Growth factor has historically demonstrated long-term outperformance at the expense of Value over the period studied
Factor Friday: Growth Stocks are in the Crosshairs Read More »
We think the current correction plays out in weeks rather than days. We are looking to accumulate on evidence of abating downside momentum. Not there yet.
Tactical Tuesday Report: Correction is Upon US, When to Accumulate Read More »
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