February 19, 2025 In mid-January, when we took our last chart-based tour around the globe, we noted that a brief reprieve for ex-US equities coincided with headwinds to US Mega Cap. Growth stocks and that international equities were acting similarly to the “average” stock in the US as proxied by the equal weight S&P 500 […]
Worldwide Wednesday: EAFE Equities Outperforming to Start 2025 Read More »
Why are rates moving lower while commodities prices are moving higher? Our thought experiment leads us to a negative conclusion.
February 13, 2025 We are excited to introduce a new flavor of our “Thematic Thursday” cyclical, the Deep Dive, where we look through to the stocks and fundamental characteristics that are driving performance in the most notable thematic funds. MILN: A Standout Performer over the Past 6-Months We start our new feature with MILN, the
Thematic Thursday Report: Millennial Consumer Fund (MILN) Deep Dive Read More »
The S&P 500 continues to move sideways across its long-term uptrend channel (chart below). After hitting uptrend channel resistance, it looks like prices are consolidating sideways in a bid to correct the trend in time rather than price. The 200-day moving average, currently at 5665, is a good proxy for trend channel support and we’ve
Tactical Tuesday Report: Growth or Value Leadership, We Review our Indicators Read More »
February 10, 2025 The S&P 500 continues in a consolidation pattern that started in early December. The index made a marginal new high on January 23rd, but the buyer couldn’t sustain above that level for longer than a day. The move sets up a negative momentum divergence in the RSI and MACD oscillators (chart below,
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | The Consumer is the Pivot Read More »
One of the most popular categories of funds available to investors are those offering thematic exposure. This category leverages a specific theme or themes that have gained traction economically and within popular culture. Thematic ETFs range from the speculative (ARKX Space Exploration & Innovation ETF) to things we take for granted (Global X Infrastructure Development
Big Tech is under pressure in the near-term with charts showing potential for a deeper correction.
US equities have moved a lot but gone basically nowhere over the past three weeks. These consolidations, especially if they are volatile, can be problematic for a trend-following portfolio allocation model like Elev8. It is the nature of trend following strategies that pivot points for trend change are also ideal accumulation points if the current
US Large Cap. outperformance vs. the MSCI World Index has plateaued. We think higher rates domestically would likely benefit ex-US equity performance as well as the average US stock pursuant to our big theme “Mega Cap. Growth vs. Everything Else”
Above 4.7% on the 10yr Yield, equities are likely to run into trouble. Below 4.5% is likely a green light for the bull.
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