Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | The Dance Between Rates and Commodities Prices Continues
Why are rates moving lower while commodities prices are moving higher? Our thought experiment leads us to a negative conclusion.
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | The Consumer is the Pivot
February 10, 2025 The S&P 500 continues in a consolidation pattern that started in early December. The index made a marginal new high on January 23rd, but the buyer couldn’t sustain above that level for longer than a day. The move sets up a negative momentum divergence in the RSI and MACD oscillators (chart below,
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | The Consumer is the Pivot Read More »
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | Lessons Learned from our January Elev8 Trades, January 26, 2025
US equities have moved a lot but gone basically nowhere over the past three weeks. These consolidations, especially if they are volatile, can be problematic for a trend-following portfolio allocation model like Elev8. It is the nature of trend following strategies that pivot points for trend change are also ideal accumulation points if the current
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | We Think it’s Still All About the Direction of Rates, January 20, 2025
Above 4.7% on the 10yr Yield, equities are likely to run into trouble. Below 4.5% is likely a green light for the bull.
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | Rising Rates Lead to a Sell Signal and Bearish Expectations, January 12, 2025
Going long Min vol. and selling out Discretionary as we expect a deeper correction for equities in the near-term
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | What We’re Watching to Start 2025, January 5, 2025
While our study of secular trends points to the potential for further upside in the bull market, interest rates will play a key roll in the first half of 2025. We think rising rates would likely tip equities into a more significant correction, but if rates stay contained below the 4.67% level we are likely to see more gains in the near-term as the Fed would have some wiggle room to keep supporting the domestic economy.
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | What We’re Watching to Start 2025, January 5, 2025 Read More »