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Macro Sector ETF Returns - July 2025

ETFSector.com August Outlook: Consumer Discretionary

  • Research, XLY Consumer Discretionary
Discretionary stocks haven't participated in the equity market recovery to the level we would have expected. We have taken out exposure to a tactical underweight for August in favor of a defensive hedge into Utilities and Staples.

ETFSector.com August Outlook: Energy

  • Research, XLE Energy
Energy shares and Crude prices remain weak, but we start August with a modest long exposure to hedge against rotation risk.

ETFSector.com August Outlook: Healthcare

  • Research, XLV Health Care
The sector remains the weakest in our model. Both fundamental and technical headwinds remain in place, though oversold conditions are prevalent.

ETFSector.com August Outlook: Consumer Staples

  • Research, XLP Consumer Staples
Not much to like about Staples on the surface, but near-term oversold conditions make it a good hedge for bullish positioning as defensive rotation and outperformance often happens from a starting point of oversold conditions.

ETFSector.com August Outlook: Financials

  • Research, XLF Financials
We remain constructive on the sector despite recent performance retracement. We expect oversold insurance names to be picked up if any turbulence emerges.

ETFSector.com August Outlook: Real Estate

  • Research, XLRE Real Estate
Real Estate stocks remain impaired at the sector level with Office REITs remaining a drag and sticky high interest rates preventing the level of credit needed to change the asset mix.

ETFSector.com August Outlook: Utilities

  • Research, XLU Utilities
Utilities performance improved in July and we are using them to hedge against overbought conditions for the S&P 500 and potential summer correction in August with a tactical overweight.

ETFSector.com August Outlook: Industrials

  • Research, XLI Industrials
Onshoring and AI implementation remain tailwinds offsetting weakness in Transports and Industrial Services segments.

Industry Research

ETFSector.com August Outlook: S&P 500

Overbought conditions are a tactical concern, but present trends remain constructive for US equities, and we think the path of least resistance for equities remains higher over the intermediate-term.

ETFSector.com July Outlook: S&P 500

Set up for equities remains bullish heading into July, and we've aligned our portfolio with historical upside exposures at the sector level

ETFSector.com July Outlook: Information Technology Sector

The Information Technology sector remains the bull market leader at the sector level

ETFSector.com July Outlook: Communication Services Sector

Com services stocks finished June strong, and we're expecting upside follow through into July

ETFSector.com July Outlook: Consumer Discretionary Sector

Despite some weakness in the near term, we expect discretionary stocks to catch up on performance now that the Bull trend is established for equities

ETFSector.com July Outlook: Healthcare Sector

We are out of the sector in July as structural headwinds from government regulation costs and higher rates persist
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