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Macro Sector ETF Returns - October 2025

ETFSector.com November Outlook: S&P 500 Index

  • Research, S&P 500
Upside participation has narrowed at the stock level over the past two months, and we think there is elevated risk of rotation/correction. That said, Tech Sector momentum remains the motive force for the bull trend and we are seeing FOMO buying even on shallow pullbacks in AI names. We enter November bar-belling long Tech exposure with more low vol. allocation than we had previously and we're short consumer facing exposures.

ETFSector.com November Outlook: Energy

  • Research, XLE Energy
Crude remains weak undermined by structural headwinds and soft economic data in the near-term.

ETFSector.com November Outlook: Materials

  • Research, XLB Materials
Commodities linked sectors remain in the weakest longer-term trends. We continue to be out of the Materials Sector

ETFSector.com November Outlook: Industrials

  • Research, XLI Industrials
We've gone long the Industrials sector despite near-term weakness. It is less weak than many sectors despite lackluster performance.

ETFSector.com November Outlook: Consumer Discretionary

  • Research, XLY Consumer Discretionary
The Consumer has come under pressure despite a supportive Fed. We're underweight to begin November.

ETFSector.com November Outlook: Consumer Staples

  • Research, XLP Consumer Staples
With a challenged consumer, the Staples sector is the one legacy low vol. sector we've avoided this month.

ETFSector.com November Outlook: Healthcare

  • Research, XLV Health Care
Signs of bullish reversal have us long the Healthcare sector entering November.

ETFSector.com November Outlook: Financials

  • Research, XLF Financials
Financials hit deeply oversold conditions in October. We're keeping some exposure based on the potential for rotation risk.

Industry Research

ETFSector.com November Outlook: S&P 500 Index

Upside participation has narrowed at the stock level over the past two months, and we think there is elevated risk of rotation/correction. That said, Tech Sector momentum remains the motive force for the bull trend and we are seeing FOMO buying even on shallow pullbacks in AI names. We enter November bar-belling long Tech exposure with more low vol. allocation than we had previously and we're short consumer facing exposures.

ETFSector.com October Outlook: S&P 500

We remain constructive on equities, and we would expect any near-term corrective action to be accumulated given strong buyer enthusiasm and supportive financial conditions. We remain positioned in our Elev8 portfolio for continued upside.

ETFSector.com September Outlook: S&P 500

We're expecting some backing and filling in September after investors spent April - August pricing in bullish scenarios on global trade resolution. A dovish Fed is another potential catalyst for rotation.

ETFSector.com August Outlook: S&P 500

Overbought conditions are a tactical concern, but present trends remain constructive for US equities, and we think the path of least resistance for equities remains higher over the intermediate-term.

ETFSector.com July Outlook: S&P 500

Set up for equities remains bullish heading into July, and we've aligned our portfolio with historical upside exposures at the sector level

ETFSector.com July Outlook: Information Technology Sector

The Information Technology sector remains the bull market leader at the sector level
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