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Macro Sector ETF Returns - September 2025

ETFSector.com September Outlook: Utilities

  • Research, Sector Reports, XLU Utilities
We maintain a long position as a hedge against downside risk with equities finishing August near all-time highs.

ETFSector.com September Outlook: Materials

  • Research, Sector Reports, XLB Materials
While we've positioned for some rotation into laggard sectors, Materials stocks, particularly Chemicals co.'s have been hit hard by tariff driven cost increases. Our outlook remains negative on the sector.

ETFSector.com September Outlook: Industrials

  • Research, Sector Reports, XLI Industrials
We think the leadership rotation that started in August away from Industrials and Tech shares has some more room to run.

ETFSector.com September Outlook: Energy

  • Research, Sector Reports, XLE Energy
We've had a contrarian bet on the sector for a few months, finally seeing some buying in the back half of August and we're rolling the position over into September

ETFSector.com September Outlook: Financials

  • Research, Sector Reports, XLF Financials
Financials inflected positively in August after retracing most YTD gains vs. the S&P 500 from April-August.

ETFSector.com September Outlook: Real Estate

  • Research, Sector Reports, XLRE Real Estate
We're expecting rotation into lagging names if the AI theme pauses. With the Fed signaling a dovish policy initiative, that is a supportive setup for the Real Estate Sector in the near-term.

ETFSector.com September Outlook: Information Technology

  • Research, Sector Reports, XLK Technology
AI momentum seems to be peaking in the near-term and we're expecting some consolidation into Q3 earnings given the bullish scenario that has been priced in from April - August.

ETFSector.com September Outlook: S&P 500

  • Research, S&P 500
We're expecting some backing and filling in September after investors spent April - August pricing in bullish scenarios on global trade resolution. A dovish Fed is another potential catalyst for rotation.

Industry Research

Featured Research | Springtime for Small Caps (White Paper), by the Research Team at Emerald Advisers, LLC
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