August 14, 2025 S&P futures slightly lower after Wednesday’s gains, led by small caps (Russell 2000 +~2%) and strength in pharma, apparel, regional banks, builders, HPCs, retail favorites, and heavily shorted names. Treasuries firmed (yields -2–3 bps), dollar flat, gold -0.1%, Bitcoin -1.1%, WTI crude +0.4%. Markets await July PPI and weekly jobless claims this […]
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August 13, 2025 US equities touched another all-time high yesterday on the S&P 500 index. We’ve touched on our concerns about narrowing market breadth and an absence of new themes here. A lack of dynamism at the stock level is a growing concern for us, even though our trend following model remains bullishly aligned for
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August 13, 2025 S&P futures up 0.15% after Tuesday’s broad rally that saw all major indexes gain over 1%, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 hitting new record highs. Small caps led, posting their best day since May, while the Mag 7 also hit new highs, led by META. Outperformers included most-shorted names, semis,
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August 12, 2025 S&P futures up 0.1% after U.S. equities closed mostly lower Monday, with weakness in software, E&Ps, transports, commodity chemicals, building products, homebuilders, and industrial metals. Retail favorites, most-shorted names, and semis outperformed. Asia mostly higher overnight (Japan +2%, China up for sixth straight day); Europe flat. Treasuries little changed, gold -0.2%, Bitcoin
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August 11, 2025 S&P futures flat after last week’s rally, which was fueled by buy-the-dip momentum, dovish Fed signals, optimism on AI following PLTR’s beat/raise, Apple’s chip tariff exemption, and strong Q2 earnings. Leadership came from big tech, semis, builders, industrial materials, managed care, and airlines. Asia mostly higher overnight; Europe down ~0.2%. Treasuries firmer
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August 10, 2025 Equities continue to shrug off challenges from escalating tariffs, wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, a rate-locked housing market and a sluggish economy. AI is living up to expectations as companies like Palantir synergize impressive results from AI and its data collection software. Semiconductor stocks are retesting highs. Mag7 stocks have
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COMMENTARY: S&P 500’s 2.4% rally this week was powered by a blend of exceptional earnings, tech/AI leadership, hawkish-to-dovish shifts in Fed policy outlook, and tariff clarity for key firms. Markets embraced risk, driven by confidence in corporate strength and easing monetary policy—even amid lingering concerns about inflation and global economic headwinds. The 3.6% weekly gain
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August 8, 2025 S&P futures up 0.3% after U.S. equities finished mostly lower Thursday, unable to hold early gains. Healthcare, software, apparel, machinery, transports, and credit cards lagged, while big tech, semis, builders, materials, and food & beverage outperformed. Markets remain on track for solid weekly gains led by tech and consumer names. Asia trade
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August 7, 2025 Artificial intelligence (AI) has rapidly evolved from a niche technology to a foundational force shaping nearly every major industry in the U.S. economy. Given the scale of investment, breadth of adoption, and the distinct economics of AI business models, there is a compelling case for creating a standalone AI sector within widely
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August 7, 2025 S&P futures +0.7%, building on Wednesday’s gains where tech led the rally (AAPL, AMZN), pushing the Mag 7 to a new all-time high. Strength was also seen in retail, consumer, transports, and autos, while healthcare, utilities, energy, regional banks, and capital goods lagged. Overnight, Asian markets were mostly higher (Taiwan and South
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