June 20, 2025 Potential US involvement in the latest Israel/Iran conflict has seized headlines. The S&P 500’s reflationary advance has paused and commodities prices, led by crude (charts below) have sparked Energy Sector outperformance. WTI Crude (NYMEX) Bloomberg commodities Index While Energy shares have hooked higher with crude, Technology shares have continued to lead US […]
June 20, 2025 S&P futures are down 0.3% Friday morning after a mixed and choppy U.S. session Wednesday, which saw strength in banks, crypto, cruise lines, and building materials, while payments, energy, athletic apparel, and chemicals lagged. Asian markets were narrowly mixed overnight, though Hong Kong gained over 1%. European markets are higher, up ~0.8%.
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June 19, 2025 Domestic markets are closed in celebration of the Juneteenth Holiday U.S. equities finished narrowly mixed in volatile Wednesday trading (Dow -0.10%, S&P 500 -0.03%, Nasdaq +0.13%, Russell 2000 +0.52%), lacking a strong directional driver. Market participants continued to monitor developments in the Middle East, where tensions between Israel and Iran remained high.
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June 18, 2025 S&P futures are up 0.3% Wednesday morning following Tuesday’s broad equity weakness, which saw losses in solar, airlines, casinos, apparel, crypto, machinery, and healthcare. Outperformers included energy, aerospace & defense, and select staples. Treasuries are slightly firmer, yields down 1–2 bp. The dollar is off 0.2%, gold down 0.3%, Bitcoin futures down
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June 17, 2025 US Equities have formed a clear bullish reversal off the April lows and the S&P 500 sits within a few percentage points of all-time highs. However, we are noting a more discerning investor. When the bull trend for equities got underway in 2023, upside leadership was characterized by industry level leadership cohorts.
Tactical Tuesday Report: The Tech Sector, Turning into a Stock Picking Exercise Read More »
June 17, 2025 S&P futures are down 0.6% Tuesday morning after U.S. equities closed higher Monday, led by gains in momentum stocks, semis, travel & leisure, and media. Asian markets were mixed overnight, while Europe is trading lower, down over 1%. Treasuries are firmer with yields 2–3 bp lower. The dollar is up 0.2%, gold
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June 16, 2025 S&P futures rose 0.4% Monday morning after U.S. equities sold off Friday, ending last week lower across all major indexes. Travel & leisure, retail/apparel, and banks led declines, while energy, ag chemicals, semis, builders, and managed care outperformed. Crowded shorts also gained. Asian markets traded mostly higher with South Korea and Japan
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June 15, 2025 Escalations in the Middle East on the heels of a bout of global trade realignment sets up a scenario straight out of an economics case study. Oil prices have risen (albeit from lows of the cycle, while equities in the very near-term have sold off along with US Treasuries at the long
COMMENTARY: The S&P 500’s 0.4% weekly decline was primarily driven by escalating Middle East tensions and the resulting surge in oil prices, which raised concerns about inflation and global economic stability. Sector-specific news and ongoing uncertainty about Federal Reserve also contributed to the market’s cautious tone. Six of the sectors outperformed the broader S&P500 while
Performance Summary: Week Ending June 13th, 2025 Read More »
June 13, 2025 S&P 500 futures are lower this morning on emerging geo/political tensions. With the index price just shy of all-time highs, we are at a point in the equity bullish reversal where some consolidation is expected. Our S&P 500 price chart (below) shows 5786 and 5504 as key support levels. If consolidation occurs
Factor Friday: Growth vs. Value Back at Par for 2025, Where Do We Go From Here? Read More »
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