November 14, 2025 The knives are out for the AI trade in the near-term. Morgan Stanley QDS (Quantitative Derivatives Strategy) calculates that momentum unwinds typically last 25 trading days going back to 2021, so by that frame, the current selling could continue into month-end. The sharp momentum unwind has forced investors to reassess the balance […]
Factor Friday: Sentiment Shifts, but Secular Trends Still Stand Read More »
November 10, 2025 The S&P 500 has spent the beginning of September pulling back from all-time highs. The selling comes against the backdrop of strong operating results from S&P 500 constituents in the most recent quarter. We’ve distilled takeaways from FactSet’s earnings insights to give you a snapshot of sector level earnings trends underpinning the
S&P 500 Earnings Momentum Broadens, but AI and Mega-Caps Still Drive the Cycle Read More »
October 15, 2025 S&P futures +0.6% in Wednesday morning trading, led by NVDA and TSLA. Follows Tuesday’s mixed close, with small caps, cyclicals, and banks outperforming while big tech lagged. Asian markets up over 1%, led by Japan, Hong Kong, and China; Europe higher with France leading on LVMH earnings and pension reform suspension. Treasuries
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October 14, 2025 S&P futures -1.1%, pulling back after Monday’s strong rebound. Treasuries are rallying with yields down 5–6 bp across the curve. Dollar Index +0.1%, gold +0.5%, Bitcoin -3.7%, WTI crude -2.1%. Markets turned risk-off after hopes of U.S.–China trade de-escalation faded. Beijing sanctioned U.S. subsidiaries of a South Korean shipbuilder, while China tightened
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October 13, 2025 S&P futures +1.3% in early Monday trading, rebounding after Friday’s sharp selloff that marked the S&P 500’s worst session since early April’s “Liberation Day” drop. Asian equities were broadly weaker overnight, while European markets are posting modest gains. Treasuries are closed for the Columbus Day holiday. The Dollar Index is up 0.1%,
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July 16, 2025 U.S. equity futures are slightly lower Wednesday morning after Tuesday’s reversal, which saw the S&P 500 close down despite early strength. Small caps, banks, crypto-linked names, energy, materials, and healthcare lagged, while semis outperformed, lifting tech more than 1%. Asian markets dipped modestly overnight; Europe is down ~0.4%. Treasuries are steady to
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July 2, 2025 S&P futures +0.1% following a mixed session Tuesday that saw the S&P and Nasdaq pull back after record-setting gains earlier in the week. Market action reflects continued rotation out of Q2’s top performers, particularly large-cap tech, with positive breadth elsewhere. Treasury yields rose overnight, steepening the curve as the long end added
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May 20, 2025 S&P futures are down 0.3% Tuesday morning after US equities reversed early losses Monday, with the S&P recovering from a 1% drop to close slightly higher. Healthcare outperformed while energy lagged. Asian markets were mostly higher, led by Hong Kong (+1.5%), while European markets edged up ~0.2%. Treasuries are slightly firmer, the
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May 19, 2025 S&P 500 futures are down 1.1% in early Monday trading after a strong rally last week, where the index climbed over 5%, leaving it up 19.5% from April lows and over 1% YTD. Tariff-exposed, most-shorted stocks, big tech, and semiconductors led the recent charge. Global markets are softer: Asian indices were mixed
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April 14, 2025 U.S. equity futures are higher in Monday morning trading (S&P futures +1.2% | Nasdaq futures +1.5% | Dow futures +0.9%), extending Friday’s rally where all major indexes gained over 1.5%, capping a strong week (S&P +5.5%, Nasdaq +7%). Global markets also firm, with Hong Kong up nearly 2.5% overnight and Europe gaining
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