November 19, 2025 S&P futures are up 0.4% Wednesday morning after U.S. equities finished mostly lower on Tuesday, marking the S&P’s fourth straight decline and leaving the index nearly 4% below its recent peak. Big tech remained a drag, though six of eleven sectors advanced and equal-weight S&P outperformed by ~90 bp. Treasuries were little […]
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November 16, 2025 After one of the sharpest momentum unwinds of the year to start November, investors head into next week facing an unusually wide set of possible outcomes. AI leaders, retail favorites, most-shorted names, crypto, and quantum-computing plays were among the biggest laggards again, reinforcing the sense that the momentum trade may be in
November 14, 2025 The knives are out for the AI trade in the near-term. Morgan Stanley QDS (Quantitative Derivatives Strategy) calculates that momentum unwinds typically last 25 trading days going back to 2021, so by that frame, the current selling could continue into month-end. The sharp momentum unwind has forced investors to reassess the balance
Factor Friday: Sentiment Shifts, but Secular Trends Still Stand Read More »
November 10, 2025 The S&P 500 has spent the beginning of September pulling back from all-time highs. The selling comes against the backdrop of strong operating results from S&P 500 constituents in the most recent quarter. We’ve distilled takeaways from FactSet’s earnings insights to give you a snapshot of sector level earnings trends underpinning the
S&P 500 Earnings Momentum Broadens, but AI and Mega-Caps Still Drive the Cycle Read More »
November 5, 2025 S&P futures -0.4% in Wednesday morning trading after Tuesday’s sharp selloff, the largest one-day decline since October 10. Pressure remained centered in Big Tech, unprofitable tech, retail favorites, most-shorted names, crypto, and cruise lines. Overseas markets are mostly weaker: South Korea -3%, Japan -2.5%, and Europe -0.7%. Treasuries were steady across the
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November 3, 2025 S&P futures +0.3% following a strong October in which the S&P 500 rose for a sixth straight month and the Nasdaq for a seventh. Asian equities were higher overnight (South Korea +3% to a record), while Europe gained ~0.5%. Treasuries firmed slightly with front-end yields −2 bp. Dollar Index +0.1%, gold +0.3%,
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October 30, 2025 S&P futures down 0.1% in Thursday morning trading, following a mixed Wednesday session in which the S&P 500 finished flat but breadth remained weak, with roughly 75% of index constituents lower. The Nasdaq outperformed, driven by renewed strength in NVDA. Asian markets were mostly lower overnight, with China lagging, while Europe opened
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October 29, 2025 S&P futures +0.2% in Wednesday morning trading, following a Tuesday gain led by Big Tech, especially NVDA and MSFT. Despite the S&P finishing higher, over 75% of stocks declined and 8 of 11 sectors were lower. Asian markets rose (Japan, South Korea strong), Europe mixed. Treasuries weaker (yields +1–2 bp), Dollar +0.3%,
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September 28, 2025 September 2025 has been dominated by renewed focus on AI and automation, even as markets wrestle with tariff headlines and mixed Fed commentary. As investors contemplate the speculative merits of AI vs. its actual delivered results, we continue to explore the expanding AI econ-system. One thing we’ve noticed is that while many
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | The Rise of the Machines Read More »
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