US equities have moved a lot but gone basically nowhere over the past three weeks. These consolidations, especially if they are volatile, can be problematic for a trend-following portfolio allocation model like Elev8. It is the nature of trend following strategies that pivot points for trend change are also ideal accumulation points if the current […]
Above 4.7% on the 10yr Yield, equities are likely to run into trouble. Below 4.5% is likely a green light for the bull.
Going long Min vol. and selling out Discretionary as we expect a deeper correction for equities in the near-term
While our study of secular trends points to the potential for further upside in the bull market, interest rates will play a key roll in the first half of 2025. We think rising rates would likely tip equities into a more significant correction, but if rates stay contained below the 4.67% level we are likely to see more gains in the near-term as the Fed would have some wiggle room to keep supporting the domestic economy.
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