Elev8 Model Input Scores: January 2025 The table below shows the Elev8 model’s scores for January. The big development in December was a cooler CPI print on the back of the Fed’s rate cut. The combination of the two events drove rotation towards cyclical positioning despite equities entering the month in a somewhat vulnerable position […]
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A supportive Fed, a cooler CPI print and an economy still near full employment have historically been a constructive backdrop for equities. We remain constructive as the calendar turns to 2026 with inflation concerns receding.
ETFSector.com January Outlook: S&P 500 Read More »
Economic softness, rising expectations of Fed easing and questions about the durability of the AI outperformance trade make December a pivotal month for equities. We’ve rolled over out Tech Sector long as AI names are near-term oversold. We have hedged that position by going long low vol. and commodities related sectors in December.
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Upside participation has narrowed at the stock level over the past two months, and we think there is elevated risk of rotation/correction. That said, Tech Sector momentum remains the motive force for the bull trend and we are seeing FOMO buying even on shallow pullbacks in AI names. We enter November bar-belling long Tech exposure with more low vol. allocation than we had previously and we’re short consumer facing exposures.
ETFSector.com November Outlook: S&P 500 Index Read More »
We remain constructive on equities, and we would expect any near-term corrective action to be accumulated given strong buyer enthusiasm and supportive financial conditions. We remain positioned in our Elev8 portfolio for continued upside.
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We’re expecting some backing and filling in September after investors spent April – August pricing in bullish scenarios on global trade resolution. A dovish Fed is another potential catalyst for rotation.
ETFSector.com September Outlook: S&P 500 Read More »
August 10, 2025 Equities continue to shrug off challenges from escalating tariffs, wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, a rate-locked housing market and a sluggish economy. AI is living up to expectations as companies like Palantir synergize impressive results from AI and its data collection software. Semiconductor stocks are retesting highs. Mag7 stocks have
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Overbought conditions are a tactical concern, but present trends remain constructive for US equities, and we think the path of least resistance for equities remains higher over the intermediate-term.
ETFSector.com August Outlook: S&P 500 Read More »
Set up for equities remains bullish heading into July, and we’ve aligned our portfolio with historical upside exposures at the sector level
ETFSector.com July Outlook: S&P 500 Read More »
Please click the link below for our views on technical, fundamental and economic developments driving the S&P 500 as we start June. S&P 500 June Outlook
ETFSector.com June Outlook: S&P 500 Read More »
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