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Factor Friday

Factor Friday: Assessing Style Prospects in the Wake of Cooler Inflation

The past several weeks of data and headlines have meaningfully improved investor sentiment, not because risks have disappeared, but because the distribution of outcomes has shifted away from the most adverse scenarios. Inflation is cooling faster than expected, the labor market is softening without cracking, earnings expectations remain intact, and the Federal Reserve is increasingly […]

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Factor Friday: Value Factor on the Rise

December 12, 2025 Growth vs. Value: The Setup Is Shifting From “Duration Dominance” to a More Cyclical, Cash-Flow–Disciplined Market The current equity backdrop is best described as a regime transition rather than a clean “risk-on” or “risk-off” phase. Earnings are still trending in the right direction, the Fed is cutting—but doing so with visible internal

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Factor Friday: Growth vs. Value Leadership at a Potential Pivot, Examining Historical Drivers

December 5, 2025 Growth vs. Value: A Historical Playbook for a Market at a Crossroads Few debates in equity investing are as persistent—or as cyclical—as the tug-of-war between Growth and Value. Across decades, the performance leadership between the two styles has shifted with changes in interest rates, productivity cycles, corporate profitability trends, and investor appetite

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Factor Friday: Current Correction Still Looks Like a Potential Opportunity

November 21, 2025 Tech shares couldn’t get off the mat this week despite a strong beat and raise from NVDA on Wednesday evening.  The mismatch between recent results (WMT also posted a strong quarter with better guidance) and pessimistic sentiment is driven by a level of near-term uncertainty around the economy, inflation pressure and Fed

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Factor Friday: Sentiment Shifts, but Secular Trends Still Stand

November 14, 2025 The knives are out for the AI trade in the near-term.  Morgan Stanley QDS (Quantitative Derivatives Strategy) calculates that momentum unwinds typically last 25 trading days going back to 2021, so by that frame, the current selling could continue into month-end. The sharp momentum unwind has forced investors to reassess the balance

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Factor Friday: The Risk off Trade is a Rotation from Growth to Value

November 7, 2025 Equities are dealing with the latest bout of skepticism around the valuation and inherent promise of AI stocks.  We’ve pointed out many times in this space how the bull trend that started in early 2023 was a mega cap. Growth led expansion.  We’ve seen over the balance of the past 3 years

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Factor Friday: Can High Beta Going Higher?   

October 3, 2025 Equities continue to push higher as the calendar has flipped to October.  The AI trade remains ascendant amidst a backdrop of an easing Fed, moderating rates and continued firm investor risk appetite.  It should be no shock then that in 2025, high-beta stocks have strongly outperformed low-volatility names.  We go a bit

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