February 19, 2026 S&P futures are down 0.3% after Wednesday’s rally, which was led by NVIDIA (NVDA), Amazon (AMZN), software, energy, metals, banks, and restaurants. Defensives underperformed. Overnight, Asian markets were higher, with South Korea up over 3% and Australia at a fresh record. European equities are down ~0.7%. Treasuries are slightly weaker (yields +1 […]
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February 4, 2026 S&P 500 futures +0.1% in early Wednesday trading, reversing some initial weakness. This follows a mostly lower Tuesday session, with technology—particularly software—the primary drag, pushing the Nasdaq down nearly 1.5%. Cyclicals provided some offset, and small caps finished modestly higher. Overnight, Asian markets were mixed with South Korea and China among the
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February 3, 2026 S&P 500 futures +0.2% in early Tuesday trading after U.S. equities finished higher Monday, snapping a three-day losing streak. Cyclicals led the rebound with airlines, retail, and machinery outperforming, while energy and precious-metals equities lagged. Mag 7 performance was mixed. Global markets are constructive. Asian equities rallied sharply overnight, led by South
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December 11, 2025 S&P futures are down 0.6% Thursday morning following Wednesday’s broad cyclical rally led by machinery, industrials, regional banks, housing, transports, and retail. Asian markets were mostly weaker overnight, with notable declines in China’s Shenzhen Composite and Japan’s Nikkei. Europe is slightly higher (~0.1%). Treasuries are little changed after Wednesday’s bullish steepening that
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November 14, 2025 The knives are out for the AI trade in the near-term. Morgan Stanley QDS (Quantitative Derivatives Strategy) calculates that momentum unwinds typically last 25 trading days going back to 2021, so by that frame, the current selling could continue into month-end. The sharp momentum unwind has forced investors to reassess the balance
Factor Friday: Sentiment Shifts, but Secular Trends Still Stand Read More »
November 10, 2025 The S&P 500 has spent the beginning of September pulling back from all-time highs. The selling comes against the backdrop of strong operating results from S&P 500 constituents in the most recent quarter. We’ve distilled takeaways from FactSet’s earnings insights to give you a snapshot of sector level earnings trends underpinning the
S&P 500 Earnings Momentum Broadens, but AI and Mega-Caps Still Drive the Cycle Read More »
November 7, 2025 Equities are dealing with the latest bout of skepticism around the valuation and inherent promise of AI stocks. We’ve pointed out many times in this space how the bull trend that started in early 2023 was a mega cap. Growth led expansion. We’ve seen over the balance of the past 3 years
Factor Friday: The Risk off Trade is a Rotation from Growth to Value Read More »
November 5, 2025 S&P futures -0.4% in Wednesday morning trading after Tuesday’s sharp selloff, the largest one-day decline since October 10. Pressure remained centered in Big Tech, unprofitable tech, retail favorites, most-shorted names, crypto, and cruise lines. Overseas markets are mostly weaker: South Korea -3%, Japan -2.5%, and Europe -0.7%. Treasuries were steady across the
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November 4, 2025 S&P futures -1.0% in early Tuesday trading after U.S. equities ended mixed Monday, with narrow breadth again the dominant theme — over 60% of S&P 500 components declined even as Big Tech outperformed on AI partnership headlines. Overseas markets are weaker: Asia saw sharp declines (South Korea -2.5%, Japan -1.7%) and Europe
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November 2, 2025 As the S&P 500 enters another pivotal earnings season, one sector holds the market’s fate in its hands: Technology. The Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK)—up roughly 32% year-to-date and accounting for more than 32% of the S&P 500’s total market capitalization—has been the engine of U.S. equity performance. Yet as the earnings
Tech’s High-Wire Moment Read More »
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