September 14, 2025 Equities finished yesterday notching another all-time high on the S&P 500. The August CPI report came in cool enough to support the Fed’s policy intentions with the market pricing in a 100% chance of a 25bp rate cut at next week’s meeting and a further 50bps of cuts into year end. From […]
COMMENTARY: The week’s strong S&P500 performance (+1.6%) was thus primarily attributed to elevated rate cut expectations, weekly unemployment rose and hiring cooled, signaling that monetary easing was more likely broad sector participation. Continued confidence in the technology and AI-driven corporate investment cycle, ongoing capital expenditures in AI and technology remain a tailwind for equity markets.
Performance Summary: Week Ending September 12th, 2025 Read More »
September 12, 2025 With the S&P 500 printing its latest all-time high yesterday and consensus now firm on Fed policy, it’s an excellent time to survey our factor charts to gage potential opportunities into year end. What has been clear since equities put in their April 7th low is that investor risk appetite has continued
Factor Friday: Will Fed Easing Animate the Value Trade? Read More »
September 12, 2025 S&P futures down 0.1% in quiet Friday premarket after Thursday’s gains pushed the S&P and Nasdaq to fresh ATHs. Week shaping up for moderate index gains. European markets softer, Asia mixed. Treasuries steady to weaker at the short end after a big flattening move this week. Dollar +0.2%, gold +0.2%, Bitcoin +0.4%,
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September 11, 2025 S&P futures +0.1%. U.S. equities were mixed Wednesday with the S&P and Nasdaq closing at fresh record highs, though breadth was weak (nearly 60% of the S&P declined). Tech dominated focus: ORCL, NVDA, and AVGO rallied, while AAPL and AMZN slipped. Asia traded mixed overnight—Mainland China, Japan, Korea, and Taiwan gained on
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September 10, 2025 In our last Worldwide Wednesday column on August 6, we remarked that some deterioration in US stock market breadth (upside participation at the stock level) was weakening and some continued rotation into ex-US exposures was likely. That dynamic shifted rather quickly as Fed chairman Powell came out with clear dovish remarks at
Worldwide Wednesday: When the Long AI Trade is On, EAFE Lags Read More »
September 10, 2025 S&P futures flat after U.S. equities closed mostly higher Tuesday, with the S&P 500 setting another record despite negative breadth and weakness in the equal-weight index. Big tech (NVDA, GOOGL, META) and AI names led, joined by managed care, China tech, energy, and retail favorites. Media, homebuilders, industrials, and apparel lagged. Asia
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September 9, 2025 U.S. equities are up slightly after Monday’s modest gains, led by semis, software, Mag 7, China tech, asset managers, and retail, while defensives (utilities, pharma/biotech, food/beverage) and cyclicals (energy, steel, transport, insurers) lagged. Treasuries are weaker with curve steepening (yields +1–3 bp). Dollar -0.2% as yen rallies on hawkish BoJ. Gold +0.4%,
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September 8, 2025 S&P 500 futures are up 0.2% after Friday’s decline, which still left the S&P 500 up for the fourth time in five weeks and the Nasdaq with its first gain in three. Asia rallied overnight (Japan +1.5% on PM Ishiba’s resignation and GDP revision), while Europe is up ~0.4%. Treasuries are firmer
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September 7, 2025 We’ve seen several developments over the past six weeks that may signal a reprieve from the dominant Mega Cap. Growth and AI trade that has underpinned the equity bull trend since 2023. We’ve mentioned Warren Buffets move to bottom-fish UNH and several prominent homebuilders. The US Government has taken a 10% stake
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | Small Cap. Stocks Taking a Leadership Turn Read More »
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