July 29, 2025 As July winds down with US and European Equities at all-time highs and EM equities appreciating as well, we come to the tactical concern of how to manage potential profit taking within a strong bull trend. Historically, the seasonal returns for the months of August-October have been the weakest average returns over […]
Tactical Tuesday Report: Oversold Low Vol. Stocks a Tactical Opportunity? Read More »
July 29, 2025 S&P futures up 0.2% in Tuesday morning trading, following a quiet Monday where the S&P 500 and Nasdaq posted sixth-straight record closes. Market breadth remained narrow, with the equal-weight S&P 500 underperforming by ~60 bp. Overnight, Asia traded mixed (Greater China and South Korea outperformed, Japan lagged), while Europe is up ~1%.
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July 28, 2025 S&P futures up 0.3% in Monday morning trading following a strong week for U.S. equities, with the S&P 500 hitting all-time highs in all five sessions and the S&P, Dow, and Nasdaq each gaining over 1%. Big tech and retail favorites led. Asia was mixed overnight (Japan −1%, Hong Kong outperformed), while
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July 27, 2025 The Bull remains in control of the tape as July winds down. A series of new all-time high prints for the S&P 500 (chart below) and the Nasdaq have printed. Our oscillators studies (chart, panes 2 and 3) have hit highs for the past 12-months as well, registering an overbought condition on
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | It’s Getting (Over)Bought in Here! Read More »
: COMMENTARY: The S&P 500 index finished up 1.5% for the week ending July 25, 2025, notching record highs every single day—a feat not seen since 2021. The main drivers and market/economic highlights for the week included: Strong Corporate Earnings: Robust earnings, especially from major blue-chip and technology firms, fueled investor optimism. Hopes Around Global
Performance Summary: Week Ending July 25th, 2025 Read More »
July 25, 2025 The more things change, the more they stay the same. Global trade realignment continues to shape the narrative around the business cycle, but despite more reasons to worry about inflation, CPI and interest rates have continued to show softness. The US 10yr yield is ticking down to long-term support (chart below) despite
Factor Friday: Back to (New) Normal Read More »
July 25, 2025 S&P futures up 0.1% in early Friday trading after a quiet Thursday session where the S&P and Nasdaq set new all-time highs. Outperformance came from energy, asset managers, cybersecurity, trucking, and exchanges, while GOOGL led the Mag 7 on earnings and TSLA fell. Laggards included multis (conglomerates), airlines, managed care, chemicals, restaurants,
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July 24, 2025 S&P futures up 0.1% in Thursday morning trading, following another record close for the S&P and Nasdaq on Wednesday. Strength came from AI power, med-tech, credit cards, chemicals, airlines, building products, and apparel. Asian markets were higher with Japan up 1.5%, and Europe is rallying ~0.7%. Treasuries are steady despite a backup
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July 23, 2025 As the dialogue on tariffs has evolved over the past months, investor perspective has evolved from a glass half empty (Q1’s near 20% correction) to a glass half full (April/May recovery) to something more optimistic (New all-time highs for US and EAFE equities). At a conceptual level, realignment on global trade away
Worldwide Wednesday: EM Asia Ramping for more Growth Read More »
July 23, 2025 S&P futures up 0.4% in Wednesday morning trading, following a strong Tuesday session where U.S. equities rallied on rotation into value, with equal-weight S&P outperforming by 120 bp. Memes, homebuilders, healthcare, and chemicals led gains, while autos, AI, tobacco, and aerospace lagged. Asian markets rallied, led by Japan (+3.5%), and Europe is
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