NVDA’s stock chart is taking on a distributional look. The buyer reaction in the near-term is likely important to the US equity bull market
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | NVDA Remains the Bull’s Bellwether Read More »
COMMENTARY: The S&P 500 index added to its YTD decline, falling 2.3% this week. The Index is off by 4.1% since the end of December. Heightened uncertainty regarding trade policy and tariffs plus moderating economic activity on job growth and GDP growth also played a role. The 10-year bond yield fell to 4.3%, signaling a
Performance Summary: Week Ending March 14th, 2025 Read More »
March 14, 2025 When we last published on factors on February 21st, 2025, we looked at long-term performance trends for the most popular factors. You can find the piece here, but the TL:DR version of it is that the Growth factor has historically demonstrated long-term outperformance at the expense of Value over the period studied
Factor Friday: Growth Stocks are in the Crosshairs Read More »
March 14, 2025 S&P 500 futures up 0.8%, attempting a bounce after Thursday’s broad selloff pushed the S&P into correction territory. Stocks remain on track for a fourth straight week of losses. Asian and European markets higher, with China rallying on policy support headlines. Treasuries weaker, yields up 2-3 bp, while the dollar (+0.1%), gold
ETFsector.com Daily Trading Outlook Read More »
March 13, 2025 S&P 500 futures are flat, recovering from overnight lows, after U.S. equities finished mostly higher Wednesday. Tech and cyclicals outperformed, though broad market breadth was weak, with two-thirds of S&P 500 stocks closing lower. Treasuries were slightly weaker at the long end, while the dollar was little changed. Gold rose 0.2%, Bitcoin
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March 12, 2025 S&P 500 futures are up 0.6% after another choppy session Tuesday, where stocks failed to sustain multiple rebound attempts. The S&P remains 9.3% off its February 19 record close, with cyclicals underperforming, while Big Tech and semis showed relative strength. European and Asian markets mostly higher overnight. Treasuries little changed, with slight
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We think the current correction plays out in weeks rather than days. We are looking to accumulate on evidence of abating downside momentum. Not there yet.
Tactical Tuesday Report: Correction is Upon US, When to Accumulate Read More »
March 11, 2025 S&P 500 futures are up 0.4%, attempting to stabilize after Monday’s sharp selloff, which marked the S&P’s worst YTD performance for the third time in six sessions and the Nasdaq’s worst decline since 2022. The S&P is now down 8.5% from its February peak. Asian markets were mostly lower, with South Korea
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March 10, 2025 S&P 500 futures are down 1.1% in premarket trading, near session lows, as the market struggles to stabilize after last week’s sharp declines. The S&P ended Friday more than 6% below its February 19 record close, marking its worst week since early September, largely driven by Trump 2.0 policy uncertainty and growth
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March 8, 2025 A week into March, US equities sit in a precarious position. The S&P 500 (chart below, 1yr daily) is at near-term support and has formed negative momentum divergences on both of our favored oscillator studies, the MACD and the RSI (chart, panels 2 & 3). The index bounced last Friday after hitting
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