May 16, 2025 S&P futures up 0.2% early Friday, near premarket highs, following a mixed Thursday where defensive sectors outperformed but big tech lagged. Major indices are poised for solid weekly gains. European markets stronger, while Asian markets saw mixed results. Treasuries are firmer with curve flattening, yields up for the week. Dollar index down […]
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May 1, 2025 S&P futures are up 1.2% following a strong late-day rally Wednesday that extended the index’s winning streak to seven sessions. Big tech earnings—especially Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta (META)—are the major driver this morning, reinforcing optimism around AI growth and pushing the S&P 500’s Q1 blended earnings growth to 11.9%, up from 7.2%
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April 30, 2025 Markets remain in a holding pattern ahead of key Mag 7 earnings and a heavy macro calendar. Supportive factors include improving earnings (particularly around tariff mitigation), some easing in Fed expectations, and recent tariff relief headlines. However, trade-related growth risks remain significant, especially amid delays in striking multiple trade deals. Concerns about
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April 25, 2025 S&P futures are up 0.3% in Friday morning trading, extending a strong week for U.S. equities. The S&P 500 logged a third straight 1%+ gain, while the Nasdaq rose over 2% for a third consecutive session. Tech, cyclicals, and high short interest names have led the rally, while consumer staples have lagged.
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April 16, 2025 S&P futures are down 0.5% in early Wednesday trading, though off the lows. This follows a mostly lower U.S. session Tuesday, with weakness across chemicals, food/beverage, apparel, and logistics. Banks, semis, and defensives held up better. Treasuries are firmer with curve steepening, the dollar index is down 0.6%, gold is up 2.5%,
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April 14, 2025 U.S. equity futures are higher in Monday morning trading (S&P futures +1.2% | Nasdaq futures +1.5% | Dow futures +0.9%), extending Friday’s rally where all major indexes gained over 1.5%, capping a strong week (S&P +5.5%, Nasdaq +7%). Global markets also firm, with Hong Kong up nearly 2.5% overnight and Europe gaining
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April 8, 2025 The S&P 500 has now retraced the entirety of current cycle gains above the S&P 500’s 2022 price high (chart below). As we noted in our weekly piece, the current level represents a 50% retracement of the entire bull market move from the trough in October 2022 through the peak in January
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April 8, 2025 S&P futures up 1.5%, rebounding after Monday’s volatile session where the index recovered nearly 5% intraday to close down just 0.2%. VIX below 45. Asia rallied overnight (Japan +6% on trade optimism), while Europe is up over 1%. Treasuries firmer after Monday’s sharp yield spike (30Y +21 bp). Dollar flat, gold +1.3%,
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April 7, 2025 S&P futures -1.7%, Nasdaq -2.6% in Monday morning trading, both off worst overnight levels. VIX >45. Follows last week’s sharp equity selloff, with the S&P 500 down over 9% and Nasdaq off 10%—worst two-day decline since March 2020. Index is now down 17% from February highs. Treasuries firmer with curve bull steepening.
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April 3, 2025 Futures are sharply lower this morning, with the S&P 500 down 3.4% and Nasdaq off 3.8%, following a global risk-off move triggered by Trump’s harsher-than-expected tariff announcement. The rollout of reciprocal tariffs, which included higher-than-anticipated rates and few immediate exemptions, has stoked fears of retaliation, dampened hopes for negotiated relief, and escalated
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