April 30, 2025 Markets remain in a holding pattern ahead of key Mag 7 earnings and a heavy macro calendar. Supportive factors include improving earnings (particularly around tariff mitigation), some easing in Fed expectations, and recent tariff relief headlines. However, trade-related growth risks remain significant, especially amid delays in striking multiple trade deals. Concerns about […]
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April 25, 2025 S&P futures are up 0.3% in Friday morning trading, extending a strong week for U.S. equities. The S&P 500 logged a third straight 1%+ gain, while the Nasdaq rose over 2% for a third consecutive session. Tech, cyclicals, and high short interest names have led the rally, while consumer staples have lagged.
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April 16, 2025 S&P futures are down 0.5% in early Wednesday trading, though off the lows. This follows a mostly lower U.S. session Tuesday, with weakness across chemicals, food/beverage, apparel, and logistics. Banks, semis, and defensives held up better. Treasuries are firmer with curve steepening, the dollar index is down 0.6%, gold is up 2.5%,
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April 14, 2025 U.S. equity futures are higher in Monday morning trading (S&P futures +1.2% | Nasdaq futures +1.5% | Dow futures +0.9%), extending Friday’s rally where all major indexes gained over 1.5%, capping a strong week (S&P +5.5%, Nasdaq +7%). Global markets also firm, with Hong Kong up nearly 2.5% overnight and Europe gaining
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April 8, 2025 The S&P 500 has now retraced the entirety of current cycle gains above the S&P 500’s 2022 price high (chart below). As we noted in our weekly piece, the current level represents a 50% retracement of the entire bull market move from the trough in October 2022 through the peak in January
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April 8, 2025 S&P futures up 1.5%, rebounding after Monday’s volatile session where the index recovered nearly 5% intraday to close down just 0.2%. VIX below 45. Asia rallied overnight (Japan +6% on trade optimism), while Europe is up over 1%. Treasuries firmer after Monday’s sharp yield spike (30Y +21 bp). Dollar flat, gold +1.3%,
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April 7, 2025 S&P futures -1.7%, Nasdaq -2.6% in Monday morning trading, both off worst overnight levels. VIX >45. Follows last week’s sharp equity selloff, with the S&P 500 down over 9% and Nasdaq off 10%—worst two-day decline since March 2020. Index is now down 17% from February highs. Treasuries firmer with curve bull steepening.
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April 3, 2025 Futures are sharply lower this morning, with the S&P 500 down 3.4% and Nasdaq off 3.8%, following a global risk-off move triggered by Trump’s harsher-than-expected tariff announcement. The rollout of reciprocal tariffs, which included higher-than-anticipated rates and few immediate exemptions, has stoked fears of retaliation, dampened hopes for negotiated relief, and escalated
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April 2, 2025 S&P futures are down 0.5% in early trading after U.S. equities closed mostly higher Tuesday. Gains were led by a Mag 7 rebound and cyclical strength, while defensives lagged. Treasuries are firmer with yields down 1–2 bp. Dollar index is off 0.2%. Gold is up 0.5%, Bitcoin futures are down 0.3%, and
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March 27, 2025 S&P futures down 0.1% in early Thursday trading, following a broad market decline Wednesday where the S&P, Nasdaq, and Russell 2000 all fell over 1%. Mag 7 stocks pulled back after a recent run, while cyclicals, AI data center names, and high short interest stocks also underperformed. Defensive sectors held up better,
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