At ETFsector.com we provide tools and insights to help our community appreciate and understand the benefits of sector investing. We are pleased to debut our deep history Sector Trend Studies to provide you with a deeper understanding of the historical behavior of these groups of businesses in relation to broad market and macro trends. The […]
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Equities finished Tuesday trading mixed with the Nasdaq adding 0.56% and the S&P 500 following up 0.11% while the Dow gave up -0.30%. A somewhat soft ISM was seen as a catalyst for the mixed results with 10yr yields continuing to move lower in the near-term and Crude Oil down on the day.
Setting up for Success | ETFsector.com Daily Trading Outlook, June 4, 2024 Read More »
Last month was more stalemate between Fed policy and Inflation gauges. Almost in the background, the equity markets continued higher. We are now in the summer of an election year which typically sees equity markets consolidate into November 5th. We will start the month positioned for rates to stay flat and for equities to grind sideways over the intermediate term while respecting the strongest longer-term outperformance trends in XLK and XLC.
XLK outperformance has persisted as inflation was not a negative event in May. We look for the outperformance trend to continue at the sector level given the absence of material headwinds and investor recognition of long-term leadership. Our new Elev8 Sector Model debuts with XLK as an OVERWEIGHT allocation of 2.92% for June
The XLC has improved steadily since the advent of the bull market in early 2023. Upside participation is broadening out and rates have failed below cycle highs for the 2nd time over the intermediate term alleviating that concern. The Elev8 Sector Model recommends an OVERWEIGHT position in XLC vs. the S&P 500 of +3.22% our largest overweight allocation for June
Our new Elev8 sector selection process starts June with an overweight in XLB of 1.68% vs. the sector weight in the S&P 500. We are not quite as sanguine on XLB as that allocation suggests as we are naked the Energy sector in our model and hoping a modest overweight in XLB will hedge us
The XLF has improved steadily over the past 9 months. And after a bit of a stumble in May relative to the S&P 500 it looks to be in a very constructive position for June. Our Elev8 Sector Model debuts with an OVERWEIGHT Position in XLF vs. the benchmark S&P 500 of +1.10%
We debut our Elev8 Sector Model with an OVERWEIGHT position in XLP of 1.98%
The XLV has continued to deteriorate and has been a large underweight in our process since the bull market started in early 2023. However, our work also suggests that oversold defensive shares can be a good tactical add to a portfolio and that’s what XLV shares are this month. Our Elev8 Sector Model debuts with an OVERWEIGHT position in XLV of + 1.02%
The XLY is one of our 0% allocation sectors for June in the Elev8 Model Portfolio with a net -9.86% UDERWEIGHT position.
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