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Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | What We’re Looking for in a (Market) Bottom

Macro Mondays, Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator /

April 27, 2025 At the risk of oversimplifying, conciliatory developments on global trade this week have coincided with a developing early-stage bullish reversal in the S&P 500 and US equity outperformance vs. rest of world equities (chart below). S&P 500 price has moved above the 5504 level which is our minimum threshold for bullish reversal […]

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Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | Growth vs. Value A Key Signal for Sector Leadership Moving Forward

Macro Mondays, Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator /

April 20, 2025 S&P 500 price action continues to consolidate after putting in a potential floor at the 4818 level (chart below).  4818 was very near the S&P 500’s 2022 price high which marked the peak of the post-pandemic, stimulus-fueled bull market.  We also note the symmetry of the 27% peak-to-trough decline in 2022 and

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Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | The Market has Drawn its Trade War Battle Lines

Macro Mondays, Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator /

April 13, 2025 Equities continue to swing on developments around global trade policy.  This past week saw the Trump Administration take its first steps towards outlining parameters for compliance with its policy goals.  Concessions around computers and Smart phones, rollbacks of higher rates for countries that have offered to cooperate and very high rates for

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Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | Looking for Sign Posts on the Road Ahead

Analysis, Macro Mondays, Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator /

April 7, 2025 Anyone else already tired of the word “tariff”?  Tariffs have been slapped on trading partners, residual tariffs are coming back our way.  If one puts on one’s bowtie and reads from the economic textbook, this is a bad setup.  Tariffs are inflationary to the extent that they raise prices, but more precisely

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Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | When is Correction Likely to Give way to Accumulation?

Analysis, Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator /

March 8, 2025 A week into March, US equities sit in a precarious position.  The S&P 500 (chart below, 1yr daily) is at near-term support and has formed negative momentum divergences on both of our favored oscillator studies, the MACD and the RSI (chart, panels 2 & 3).  The index bounced last Friday after hitting

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Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | Bullish Momentum is Waning, Setting the Stage for a Potential Correction

Analysis, Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator /

February 23, 2025 The bullish trend for US equities matured in 2024 and is showing signs of fatigue to begin 2025.  We are seeing several negative momentum divergences across important market bellwethers from the Mag7 to Housing to the S&P 500 itself.  US equities are losing momentum to the upside and investors are starting to

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© 2025 ETF Sector

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