April 15, 2025 The S&P 500 has pivoted off a significant long-term support level at 4818 which marked the top of the post-pandemic advance for equities (chart below). Price has traded up to the bottom March’s trading range which encompassed 5504 to 5786. We think that zone is the “neckline” for a potential top in […]
Tactical Tuesday Report: Guideposts for a Potential Recovery Read More »
April 13, 2025 Equities continue to swing on developments around global trade policy. This past week saw the Trump Administration take its first steps towards outlining parameters for compliance with its policy goals. Concessions around computers and Smart phones, rollbacks of higher rates for countries that have offered to cooperate and very high rates for
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | The Market has Drawn its Trade War Battle Lines Read More »
COMMENTARY: Once upon a time in the whimsical land of Wall Street, the asset classes gathered for their weekly performance review. It was a chaotic week, and each asset had its own story to tell: The 10-Year Treasury climbed to 4.48%, to the highest point since February. Oil hit a 4-year low on Monday, WTI
Performance Summary: Week Ending April 11th, 2025 Read More »
April 8, 2025 The S&P 500 has now retraced the entirety of current cycle gains above the S&P 500’s 2022 price high (chart below). As we noted in our weekly piece, the current level represents a 50% retracement of the entire bull market move from the trough in October 2022 through the peak in January
Tactical Tuesday Report: Some Signs of Positive Divergence Beneath the Surface Read More »
April 7, 2025 Anyone else already tired of the word “tariff”? Tariffs have been slapped on trading partners, residual tariffs are coming back our way. If one puts on one’s bowtie and reads from the economic textbook, this is a bad setup. Tariffs are inflationary to the extent that they raise prices, but more precisely
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | Looking for Sign Posts on the Road Ahead Read More »
COMMENTARY: Bloomberg screens this week should have had background music playing UB40’s song Red, Red, Wine. The primary driver of this week’s sell-off was the start of a tariff war that the administration believes will level the import/export playing field in the future. Investors clearly don’t like uncertainty, as the S&P500 fell 9.0%, bringing every
Performance Summary: Week Ending April 4th, 2025 Read More »
April 4, 2025 Tariffs are here and they brought the Bear with them. Wednesday afternoon’s pronouncements and news of reciprocal measures coming out on Thursday evening has equities taking the elevator downwards. Speed is the weapon of the bear, patience that of the bull. As we survey our various factor fund groupings this week, we
Factor Friday: Reviewing Factors as the Bear Takes Over the Tape Read More »
April 2, 2025 The rotation out of US Stocks has hit its first potential pivot point at the start of April. The S&P 500 is retesting March lows after the end-of-month rally got snuffed out at the 200-day moving average last Friday. The rally came at the expense of ex-US equity performance. The chart below
Please click the link below for our views on technical, fundamental and economic developments driving the S&P 500 as we start April. S&P 500 April Outlook
ETFSector.com April Outlook: S&P 500 Read More »
Please click the link below for our views on technical, fundamental and economic developments driving the S&P 500 Communications Services Sector as we start April. Communication Services Sector April Outlook
ETFSector.com April Outlook: Communications Services Sector Read More »
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