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Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | Looking for Sign Posts on the Road Ahead

April 7, 2025 Anyone else already tired of the word “tariff”?  Tariffs have been slapped on trading partners, residual tariffs are coming back our way.  If one puts on one’s bowtie and reads from the economic textbook, this is a bad setup.  Tariffs are inflationary to the extent that they raise prices, but more precisely […]

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Performance Summary: Week Ending April 4th, 2025

COMMENTARY: Bloomberg screens this week should have had background music playing UB40’s song Red, Red, Wine. The primary driver of this week’s sell-off was the start of a tariff war that the administration believes will level the import/export playing field in the future.  Investors clearly don’t like uncertainty, as the S&P500 fell 9.0%, bringing every

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Factor Friday: Reviewing Factors as the Bear Takes Over the Tape

April 4, 2025 Tariffs are here and they brought the Bear with them.  Wednesday afternoon’s pronouncements and news of reciprocal measures coming out on Thursday evening has equities taking the elevator downwards.  Speed is the weapon of the bear, patience that of the bull.  As we survey our various factor fund groupings this week, we

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ETFsector.com Daily Trading Outlook

April 4, 2025 U.S. equity futures are sharply lower in early trading (S&P futures -2.3%, Nasdaq futures -2.6%), following Thursday’s steep selloff that marked the S&P 500’s worst day since 2020. Risk sentiment remains under pressure globally, as markets digest escalating trade tensions and increased policy uncertainty. China announced a 34% tariff on all U.S.

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Elev8 Sector Rotation Portfolio: Performance Recap and Lessons Learned

April 3, 2025 We introduced our Elev8 model in June of 2024 and have been running it in its current form since August 28, 2024.  With 7-months of track record behind our method, we wanted to review performance and share some lessons learned from our 7 months running the strategy.  Our friends over at ETFAction.com

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ETFsector.com Daily Trading Outlook

April 3, 2025 Futures are sharply lower this morning, with the S&P 500 down 3.4% and Nasdaq off 3.8%, following a global risk-off move triggered by Trump’s harsher-than-expected tariff announcement. The rollout of reciprocal tariffs, which included higher-than-anticipated rates and few immediate exemptions, has stoked fears of retaliation, dampened hopes for negotiated relief, and escalated

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Worldwide Wednesday: Continued Outperformance from ex-US Equities Would be a Bearish “Tell” for the S&P 500

April 2, 2025 The rotation out of US Stocks has hit its first potential pivot point at the start of April.  The S&P 500 is retesting March lows after the end-of-month rally got snuffed out at the 200-day moving average last Friday.  The rally came at the expense of ex-US equity performance.  The chart below

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ETFsector.com Daily Trading Outlook

April 2, 2025 S&P futures are down 0.5% in early trading after U.S. equities closed mostly higher Tuesday. Gains were led by a Mag 7 rebound and cyclical strength, while defensives lagged. Treasuries are firmer with yields down 1–2 bp. Dollar index is off 0.2%. Gold is up 0.5%, Bitcoin futures are down 0.3%, and

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ETFsector.com Daily Trading Outlook

April 1, 2025 S&P futures are down 0.5% following a modest rebound in U.S. equities on Monday, which saw defensives outperform—consumer staples, energy, and financials led, while the Mag 7 continued to lag. Treasuries are firmer with yields down 1–5 bp, curve flattening. Dollar is off 0.1%, gold up 0.5%, bitcoin futures up 2.1%, and

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