November 14, 2025 The knives are out for the AI trade in the near-term. Morgan Stanley QDS (Quantitative Derivatives Strategy) calculates that momentum unwinds typically last 25 trading days going back to 2021, so by that frame, the current selling could continue into month-end. The sharp momentum unwind has forced investors to reassess the balance […]
Factor Friday: Sentiment Shifts, but Secular Trends Still Stand Read More »
November 10, 2025 The S&P 500 has spent the beginning of September pulling back from all-time highs. The selling comes against the backdrop of strong operating results from S&P 500 constituents in the most recent quarter. We’ve distilled takeaways from FactSet’s earnings insights to give you a snapshot of sector level earnings trends underpinning the
S&P 500 Earnings Momentum Broadens, but AI and Mega-Caps Still Drive the Cycle Read More »
November 7, 2025 Equities are dealing with the latest bout of skepticism around the valuation and inherent promise of AI stocks. We’ve pointed out many times in this space how the bull trend that started in early 2023 was a mega cap. Growth led expansion. We’ve seen over the balance of the past 3 years
Factor Friday: The Risk off Trade is a Rotation from Growth to Value Read More »
November 5, 2025 S&P futures -0.4% in Wednesday morning trading after Tuesday’s sharp selloff, the largest one-day decline since October 10. Pressure remained centered in Big Tech, unprofitable tech, retail favorites, most-shorted names, crypto, and cruise lines. Overseas markets are mostly weaker: South Korea -3%, Japan -2.5%, and Europe -0.7%. Treasuries were steady across the
ETFsector.com Daily Trading Outlook Read More »
November 4, 2025 S&P futures -1.0% in early Tuesday trading after U.S. equities ended mixed Monday, with narrow breadth again the dominant theme — over 60% of S&P 500 components declined even as Big Tech outperformed on AI partnership headlines. Overseas markets are weaker: Asia saw sharp declines (South Korea -2.5%, Japan -1.7%) and Europe
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November 2, 2025 As the S&P 500 enters another pivotal earnings season, one sector holds the market’s fate in its hands: Technology. The Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK)—up roughly 32% year-to-date and accounting for more than 32% of the S&P 500’s total market capitalization—has been the engine of U.S. equity performance. Yet as the earnings
Tech’s High-Wire Moment Read More »
October 6, 2025 S&P futures +0.3% after U.S. equities ended mixed on Friday, though the S&P 500 extended its winning streak to six sessions and all major indexes posted weekly gains of over 1%. Outperformers included pharma, semiconductors, China tech, utilities, builders, rails, and machinery, while big tech was mixed — NVDA stood out with
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October 3, 2025 Equities continue to push higher as the calendar has flipped to October. The AI trade remains ascendant amidst a backdrop of an easing Fed, moderating rates and continued firm investor risk appetite. It should be no shock then that in 2025, high-beta stocks have strongly outperformed low-volatility names. We go a bit
Factor Friday: Can High Beta Going Higher? Read More »
September 28, 2025 September 2025 has been dominated by renewed focus on AI and automation, even as markets wrestle with tariff headlines and mixed Fed commentary. As investors contemplate the speculative merits of AI vs. its actual delivered results, we continue to explore the expanding AI econ-system. One thing we’ve noticed is that while many
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | The Rise of the Machines Read More »
September 24, 2025 S&P futures up 0.1% Wednesday after U.S. equities slipped Tuesday, led lower by big tech and AI names (AMZN, NVDA). Energy outperformed while defensives also held up. Treasuries little changed with 2Y yields down ~2 bp. Dollar index +0.3%, gold -0.6%, Bitcoin +0.8%, WTI crude +1.1%. Macro narrative remains steady: bulls cite
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