Trading Outlook S&P futures are off 0.1% and Nasdaq futures are down 0.3% after Wednesday’s momentum unwind. The headline index move was modest, but the factor move was not: semis, memory and AI-infrastructure winners came under outsized pressure while software, big tech, Financials, Health Care and Communication Services held up better. Asia was mixed overnight, […]
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Futures off after yesterday’s Tech-led gains: S&P futures are down 0.3% after Tuesday’s momentum-led advance. The Nasdaq gained 1.52% Tuesday, semis led again, and the SOX capped its best quarter since its 1993 inception. The setup is more cautious this morning: Asia mixed with Taiwan outperforming and South Korea down roughly 2%, Europe lower, Treasuries
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May marked the AI recognition phase: investors embraced a long-term build-out of compute, software, power and infrastructure, while narrow equity leadership reflected uncertainty over which incumbents can adapt—and which large legacy businesses face systemic disruption from AI-native competitors over time
Narrations of a Sector ETF Operator | The AI Recognition Phase Read More »
We examine the strategic partnerships that involve OpenAI to develop a risk profile and playbook for understanding the impact of big speculative AI plays on the technology eco-system.
This week’s developments argue for Growth over Value in the near term. Softer inflation data, resilient activity, AI capex enthusiasm, and systematic re-risking have all favored long-duration equities, though narrow breadth and higher-for-longer policy risk still argue against abandoning Value discipline.
Factor Friday: Examining the Fundamental Case for Continued Growth Outperformance Read More »
Since late March, falling Treasury yields have reflected more than softer macro expectations. ETF flows show investors already rotating for easier policy, favoring semiconductors, dividends, infrastructure, and selective real assets, while that very equity rotation may eventually limit how far yields decline.
Factor Friday: Interest Rates in Focus as Factor Leadership is in Potential Transition Read More »
Stagflation signals from March PMIs—business activity at an 11-month low, selling prices rising at the fastest clip since August 2022—favor sectors with pricing power. Energy, utilities, and staples lead defensively, while software remains vulnerable to AI disruption repricing.
January 22, 2026 We’ve built out a database of 382 of the most liquid, US domiciled ETFs across a broad range of thematic categories. This week, we’re using that resource to analyze thematic fund flow trends over the past 1, 3 and 6-month periods. The past six months have underscored how thematic ETF leadership is
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